com.dataartisans.flinktraining.exercises.datastream_java.utils.TravelTimePredictionModel.java Source code

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/*
 * Copyright 2015 data Artisans GmbH
 *
 * Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License");
 * you may not use this file except in compliance with the License.
 * You may obtain a copy of the License at
 *
 *  http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
 *
 * Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
 * distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
 * WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
 * See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
 * limitations under the License.
 */

package com.dataartisans.flinktraining.exercises.datastream_java.utils;

import org.apache.commons.math3.stat.regression.SimpleRegression;

/**
 * TravelTimePredictionModel provides a very simple regression model to predict the travel time
 * to a destination location depending on the direction and distance of the departure location.
 *
 * The model builds for multiple direction intervals (think of it as north, north-east, east, etc.)
 * a linear regression model (Apache Commons Math, SimpleRegression) to predict the travel time based
 * on the distance.
 *
 * NOTE: This model is not mean for accurate predictions but rather to illustrate Flink's handling
 * of operator state.
 *
 */
public class TravelTimePredictionModel {

    private static int NUM_DIRECTION_BUCKETS = 8;
    private static int BUCKET_ANGLE = 360 / NUM_DIRECTION_BUCKETS;

    SimpleRegression[] models;

    public TravelTimePredictionModel() {
        models = new SimpleRegression[NUM_DIRECTION_BUCKETS];
        for (int i = 0; i < NUM_DIRECTION_BUCKETS; i++) {
            models[i] = new SimpleRegression(false);
        }
    }

    /**
     * Predicts the time of a taxi to arrive from a certain direction and Euclidean distance.
     *
     * @param direction The direction from which the taxi arrives.
     * @param distance The Euclidean distance that the taxi has to drive.
     * @return A prediction of the time that the taxi will be traveling or -1 if no prediction is
     *         possible, yet.
     */
    public int predictTravelTime(int direction, double distance) {
        byte directionBucket = getDirectionBucket(direction);
        double prediction = models[directionBucket].predict(distance);

        if (Double.isNaN(prediction)) {
            return -1;
        } else {
            return (int) prediction;
        }
    }

    /**
     * Refines the travel time prediction model by adding a data point.
     *
     * @param direction The direction from which the taxi arrived.
     * @param distance The Euclidean distance that the taxi traveled.
     * @param travelTime The actual travel time of the taxi.
     */
    public void refineModel(int direction, double distance, double travelTime) {
        byte directionBucket = getDirectionBucket(direction);
        models[directionBucket].addData(distance, travelTime);
    }

    /**
     * Converts a direction angle (degrees) into a bucket number.
     *
     * @param direction An angle in degrees.
     * @return A direction bucket number.
     */
    private byte getDirectionBucket(int direction) {
        return (byte) (direction / BUCKET_ANGLE);
    }

}